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The Dumb War that is Turning off Young MAGA

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Discontent Brewing Among Young MAGA Supporters Over Middle East Conflict

For many young men in the MAGA movement, the war in the Middle East is the last straw. Since Donald Trump’s return to power, disappointments have been piling up for this crucial group in his 2024 victory.

“I feel betrayed,” says Razi Marshall, 19, attending the Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC) in Dallas.

The young man is disappointed by the president, who had promised to end the “endless wars.” He fears entanglement in Iran and the political consequences for the Republican Party.

“The midterm elections will be a bloodbath for Republicans,” he warns amidst the MAGA merchandise stalls.

Context: Young MAGA supporters are expressing disillusionment and dissatisfaction with Trump’s handling of foreign conflicts, particularly the situation in Iran. The article highlights the shift in support among young conservative voters and the potential impact on upcoming elections.

The Dumb War that is Turning off Young MAGA

A short distance away, young members of a group called Republicans for National Renewal set up a homegrown survey. The question is simple: for or against the war in Iran?

Participants are asked to place a peanut in a jar to express their opinion. Both containers were nearly equally filled during our visit. The exercise is not scientific, but one thing is certain—the conflict is dividing opinions.

Alec Beaton, 23, from Michigan, is part of the group that organized this poll. He minces no words. “I think this war is stupid. We should put America first. By going to war with Iran, I believe we are prioritizing Israel’s interests,” he argues.

A board that reads 'Do you support the war in Iran, yes or no?'

Fact Check: The article reports on the young conservative viewpoints on the conflict in Iran and the actions taken by various groups to gauge public opinion on the matter. It hints at potential repercussions for the Republican Party and the upcoming elections.

This wave of thought, increasingly embraced by MAGA youth, echoes the views expressed by right-wing and far-right influencers who question the unconditional US support for Israel. This sentiment is notably championed by prominent commentator Tucker Carlson.

Other significant figures within the MAGA sphere have also criticized the president’s decision, including podcast king Joe Rogan.

Steadfast Support

In 2024, young men aged 18 to 29 swelled the ranks of Donald Trump’s supporters. 54% of voters in this demographic backed him. But in the past year, the landscape has shifted significantly.

A survey in December revealed that 66% of young men in this group approved of his presidency.

Another poll conducted in February indicated that support for the president among Generation Z (1995-2012) is at its lowest since the start of his second term.

Then, a separate survey showed that 18-29-year-olds are the age group most opposed to the war in Iran.

According to Charlie Sabgir, head of research at the Young Men Research Project, the biggest threat to Republicans is the possibility that young men who supported Trump in 2024 may not show up to vote this autumn.

Without the support of this critical demographic, the president could struggle to gain traction in tight races, Mr. Sabgir opines.

Many young men see no reason to get off their couches to vote for [the Republican Party] in 2026.

“Most young men are becoming more independent. Young women too. They are disenchanted with both parties. The prevailing sentiment is that the system simply doesn’t work,” notes the researcher.

As for young Razi Marshall, he admits he doesn’t plan to head to the polls this fall. “I don’t think either I or many of my right-wing Republican friends will vote this year,” he confesses.

Top Priority: Economy

Foreign engagements, lack of transparency in the Epstein case, and little focus on the rising cost of living: several young Republicans interviewed at CPAC view Donald Trump’s track record negatively. They are frustrated to see the president act contrary to his promises.

Garrett Anderson, 24, from Oklahoma, believes Trump needs to refocus on purchasing power and access to housing.

“I have nothing against baby boomers or Generation X, but if you want the next generation to have children, you have to allow them access to affordable housing,” he asserts.

Rising living costs are also a concern for Kole Cornell, 31, from Ohio. “Gas prices were falling, a good move by Donald Trump, but today prices are back on the rise,” he observes.

Energizing the Base

However, some young Republicans are working to combat the disinterest in the Trump base. Gavin Whitaker and his group invited us to Canton, a small town an hour east of Dallas.

In this region, firearms and hunting are part of the culture, and this afternoon, they are practicing sport shooting in a sandpit.

Texas young Republicans posing in front of a target.

Last fall, they established the North East Texas Young Republicans group with the aim of mobilizing young conservatives and encouraging them to vote. They know the battle will be tough for Republicans next fall.

“It’s our mission: to go out into the field to fight this wave. To go out and act,” explains Gavin Whitaker, group president.

They organize events and maintain a social media presence. They have started a TikTok account, and their number of subscribers grows daily.

Feedback from the ground in Texas is clear: taxes are too high, the cost of living is rising, and property access is becoming more challenging. Republican elites need to listen better, Gavin believes.

“I think it’s all about attitude. You need to understand and listen to people, those who are unknown, the voters, and connect with the grassroots,” Gavin suggests.

A man in a cap holding a revolver.

For him, a way of life is at stake. He envisions a country where gas prices are low, and where he can practice shooting without constraints, summing up his ideals.

Time is ticking for Donald Trump. The stakes are high. How will he reconnect with the aspirations of the MAGA youth, the future of his movement?

* Third Way/HIT Strategies poll conducted from 8 to 22 December 2025 with 1462 respondents nationally. Margin of error +/-3.6%.

** The Economist/YouGov poll conducted from 6 to 9 February 2026 with 2014 respondents. Margin of error +/-3.1%.

*** NPR/PBS News/Marist poll conducted from 2 to 4 March 2026 with 1591 respondents. Margin of error +/-2.8%.