Between the severe fall recorded since October 2025 and the conflict between Iran and the United States, crypto market sentiment is fragile. The Crypto Fear and Greed Index indicator has also been in the “extreme fear” zone for quite a while. But is the tide turning? After five months of decline, the king of cryptocurrencies closed March in the positive. Can we hope for a continuation of the rebound in April for Bitcoin? We try to answer this question in the first newsletter of April!
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The price of Bitcoin remains fragile despite the rebound of 1.3% in 24 hours
BTC rebounds from 1.3% over the last 24 hoursbut the situation remains complicated. Indeed, the price of Bitcoin is under $70,000 and it displays a drop of 3% in one week, 22% in three months and of 43% in six months :
| Pair | 1H | 24H | 7J | 1M | 3M | 6M |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 BTC/ETH |
-0.1182% | -1.43% | -1.35% | -4.51% | 9.55% | 21.76% |
 BTC/USDT |
0.3975% | 1.25% | -3.05% | 2.69% | -22.16% | -43.11% |
Performances du Bitcoin face à différentes paires. Source : Coincheckup
Additionally, the BTC is fragile compared to Ethereum. In fact, the BTC/ETH pair is in the red over the last month (-4.5%). After six months of decline, the price ofETH regains color in March with an increase of 7%. Over the last month, Bittensor (TAO) has been particularly successful, signing a increase of more than 70%.
The price of Bitcoin regains color in March: +1.8%
The month of March ends on a positive note for the king of cryptocurrencies. In fact, the course records a légère hausse d’1,8 %. If the performance is not exceptional, it still allows you to put end to a streak of five straight months in the red :
The situation is therefore improving for Bitcoin, with a reduction in selling pressure. Will April also be positive? Performance could depend on various factors, includingdevelopments in the conflict between Iran and the United States. On the numbers side, April is usually a favorable month for Bitcoin. Over this month, BTC recorded a average increase of more than 12% since 2013.
BTC price advances towards resistance at $71,000
Following a rebound around the support à 65 000 $the price of Bitcoin goes back beyond the moving averages (EMA 9/EMA 18). And the course is heading towards the résistance à 71 000 $ :
The dynamic remains fragile in 4H, and in the event of a fall, the price could return to support à 65 000 $. In case of greater fever, the course could tumble towards $60,000. On the other hand, if Bitcoin manages to make sellers give in around 71 000 $he could fly towards the résistance à 76 500 $. The momentum is still fragile, because the RSI draws bearish momentum.
The price of Bitcoin finally marks a positive month, but the increase is timid. BTC is therefore still fragile, and it will be necessary to break the resistance at $71,000 to hope for a second month in a row in the green. A performance that has not happened since the summer of 2025. Ethereum ended the month of March in the green, but found itself facing resistance on a weekly and daily basis.
BITCOIN NEWS THAT COUNTS
SUIVI PORTEFEUILLE STEADY LADS 100 000$
Allocation as of 01.04.26:
💵 Stablecoins : 68 % — 💰 Cryptos : 32 %
Following a stop loss executed in profit, Cara further reduced the exposure. The recent decline has made it possible to secure gains and lighten the portfolio. The portfolio now remains cautiously positioned, awaiting a new setup.
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